Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 984.793899 1123.987654 1282.147194 1476.486762 1710.668144 1986.079149 2337.941289
2025-01-12 764.546860 935.827970 1149.432018 1440.263199 1833.733900 2359.463015 3136.342726
2025-01-19 646.168742 823.624220 1057.416618 1396.365961 1890.038899 2608.226121 3784.026868
2025-01-26 595.845712 787.433636 1052.690239 1460.351259 2097.540790 3106.151698 4942.781753
2025-02-02 550.363020 749.003959 1035.480541 1497.905371 2266.222593 3577.781995 6215.879344
2025-02-09 512.855870 715.915063 1019.391819 1531.171223 2430.284171 4078.220244 7733.141452
2025-02-16 472.838055 673.762552 982.916691 1523.571405 2519.470162 4461.596560 9168.423810
2025-02-23 449.651360 654.349478 978.911630 1568.565850 2711.170629 5096.586926 11495.141655
2025-03-02 427.111852 633.263687 969.026763 1600.520572 2883.026520 5740.129190 14217.163802
2025-03-09 401.096248 603.858755 941.497661 1595.173142 2976.865421 6234.396329 16827.244874
2025-03-16 374.093375 570.359653 903.243169 1563.564261 3007.663209 6584.564802 19219.942254
2025-03-23 358.122983 554.015036 893.419322 1586.133915 3163.776216 7313.452049 23592.336389
2025-03-30 331.338294 518.263764 847.432744 1534.161263 3148.537073 7603.676679 26673.126583
2025-04-06 308.529297 487.935756 809.055309 1494.056011 3157.647789 7985.457055 30706.736580
2025-04-13 287.578226 459.175838 770.715282 1448.412543 3142.703122 8289.573399 34782.592397
2025-04-20 281.746204 457.039193 782.896653 1515.443518 3439.878854 9773.426131 48241.327863
2025-04-27 273.207380 449.169843 782.928352 1554.861673 3673.176062 11170.922202 64651.143784
2025-05-04 264.822036 440.870073 781.169687 1589.774654 3904.332333 12712.476191 87287.133636
2025-05-11 253.037589 425.229536 762.859693 1581.797480 4003.692273 13766.478856 109344.989421
2025-05-18 247.074882 420.321177 766.420623 1629.037486 4294.336030 15926.772870 157211.428918
2025-05-25 240.291113 413.282394 764.726854 1662.598974 4551.598951 18154.434486 225048.118594
2025-06-01 230.870132 400.361994 749.092585 1656.981980 4671.238439 19746.428188 298225.623790
2025-06-08 220.053816 383.976071 724.491724 1623.785314 4682.327699 20721.559770 369762.930115